Ukraine has built what may be the world's first AI-native military.
From 5,000 drones in 2022 to a target of 7 million. Ukraine’s defence innovation ecosystem reveals a shift from legacy platforms to high-frequency iteration.
Read moreSignals from the Exponential Age
Observations on AI, change, and what's next. Thoughts from the intersection of futures thinking and applied AI.
Chinese AI Labs and the 'Distillation' Operation
Anthropic documented an orchestrated intelligence gathering operation by DeepSeek, MiniMax, and Moonshot to extract Claude's capabilities.
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Ads have entered the chat: Three bets on who pays for intelligence.
OpenAI, Anthropic, and Perplexity are taking distinct paths on monetising AI models. The inclusion of ads could radically alter user trust.
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Emotional infrastructure at scale: 1 in 3 Americans trust their chatbot as much as their priest.
We are building an unprecedented emotional infrastructure. What happens when an entire generation outsources its vulnerability to a server rack?
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The 'Creativity Scar' - How AI affects long-term human ingenuity
Research shows that using AI makes you more creative initially, but removing it causes creativity to drop below baseline. Welcome to the 'creativity scar'.
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The Pentagon, Anthropic, and the final red lines of AI.
Anthropic is the last major AI lab holding the line on military safeguards. The Pentagon's reaction reveals the tension between ethics and empire.
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The AI Workload Creep: We aren't working less; we are fact-checking more.
AI was supposed to give people time back. The early data says it gave them more to do. Welcome to the Verification Crisis.
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AI is eating the apprenticeship layer. Start where the AI stops.
IBM is tripling entry-level hiring because AI makes juniors more productive. But this fundamentally changes what it means to be entry-level.
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The Launch of The Center for Tomorrow: Designing the next economy.
Dex Hunter-Torricke launches a new nonprofit designed to bridge the gap between building the future and understanding it.
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ByteDance Boximator: Precision is the new speed.
ByteDance's Boximator signals a shift from 'slot machine' prompting to the 'steering wheel' of generative video control.
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The Silicon vs. Scale Map: Europe's AI Brain Drain
Europe produces more AI professionals per head than America. But they keep leaving for California due to compute density.
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OpenAI hires the OpenClaw team: Accelerating the agentic future.
OpenAI's acquisition of Peter Steinberger and the OpenClaw crew signals a massive acceleration in agent capabilities.
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The AI Refactoring Tax: Automating broken processes at the speed of light.
The biggest risk to AI isn't model safety. It's the technical debt of the models it replaces.
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Same industry. Same supply chains. Completely different economics: AI Silicon.
AI chips make up 0.2% of all chips sold, but they will generate half of all chip revenue this year. The value isn't in software; it's in the silicon underneath.
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UBTECH Walker S2: The learning curve is the product.
Humaniod robots are currently half as efficient as humans, but orders are surging. Why? Because you are buying the data compounding, not just the hardware.
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The Kill Zone: Morgan Stanley finds the AI squeeze hits mid-level workers hardest.
A new Morgan Stanley survey reveals that workers with 2-5 years of experience face the biggest net loss in demand due to AI.
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In a world of noise, price is the sharpest signal. The rise of prediction markets.
Prediction markets are replacing pundits and polling as the most reliable signal of truth in a noisy ecosystem.
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The documentation lookup tax is collapsing: Why agents are the new readers.
Documentation is shifting from a learning resource for humans to a machine-facing surface for agents. The advantage goes to whoever notices first.
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Tech Twitter melted down this weekend over 'ClawdBot'. It reminds me of November 2022.
The immediate assumption is that we are seeing a jump in model intelligence. But the real breakthrough is friction collapse—the shift from 'AI as a Tool' to 'AI as Labour'.
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Davos and the civilisational OS: Intelligence becomes a commodity. Biology becomes programmable.
Azeem Azhar's post-Davos frame is essential reading. As energy becomes buildable and intelligence commoditised, our 'civilisational operating system' is being rewritten.
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Texas just crossed a line that matters for the AI era: Solar beat coal.
Solar generated more electricity than coal on the Texas grid for the first time. Why does this matter for AI? Because AI turns electricity into strategy.
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The Consulting Reset: Accenture acquires Faculty
Accenture's $1bn acquisition of UK AI unicorn Faculty signals a rewiring of the consulting pyramid.
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High AI exposure is not the same thing as high AI risk.
New data from NBER shows 71% of workers in high-AI-exposure jobs score above average on adaptability. The risk isn't the technology; it's the refusal to adapt.
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Orbit Planning: SpaceX initiates the largest orbital migration in history.
SpaceX's decision to lower its Starlink fleet signals the transition from the 'Wild West' of space to 'Urban Planning'.
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In a world of noise, price is the sharpest signal.
Prediction markets are surging to $13-15 billion in 2025. This feels less like gambling and more like the financialisation of truth.
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The World Economic Forum opens in Davos under the theme 'A Spirit of Dialogue.'
Davos 2026 convenes as unilateral power outpaces multilateral institutions. The software of globalism is no longer compatible with the hardware of national politics.
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Graduate recruitment looks like it is becoming an AI literacy test.
Graduate recruitment is shifting from closed-book horsepower to AI literacy and judgement.
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We may be mislabelling the Ozempic story.
GLP-1 medicines are a healthcare story. But they are also a demand story for retail and FMCG.
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Physics in AI: From Language to World Models
For three years, AI got smarter by reading more. Now the labs are teaching it physics. Welcome to the era of 'World Models'.
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Stack Overflow is becoming an archaeological layer.
Stack Overflow is becoming an archaeological layer. Public Q&A is thinning. Private synthesis is thickening.
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For three years, AI got smarter by reading more.
For three years, AI got smarter by reading more.
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Claude Code hits $1bn run rate: When AI becomes headcount.
Anthropic's Claude Code is no longer a SaaS tool. It is a line item competing directly with engineering payroll.
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The Industrialisation of Intuition in Venture Capital
AI agents are screening startups 500x faster than humans with higher success rates. The 'warm intro' is being replaced by data mapping.
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Pragmatic Addicts: Working in the Shadow of AI
Anthropic's research reveals the cognitive dissonance of the modern worker: We claim to mistrust AI, but secretly rely on it.
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What if your next engineering hire doesn't need a desk, salary or manager?
What if your next engineering hire doesn't need a desk, salary or manager?
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The gatekeepers of capital used to block out two hours for a preliminary analysis of a pitch....
The gatekeepers of capital used to block out two hours for a preliminary analysis of a pitch. Now they do it in 13 seconds.
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We tell pollsters we do not trust AI. We tell our browsers something very different.
We tell pollsters we do not trust AI. We tell our browsers something very different.
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There is an invisible war for the periodic table.
There is an invisible war for the periodic table.
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The cloud has a postcode. And right now, it looks a lot like Indiana farmland...
The cloud has a postcode. And right now, it looks a lot like Indiana farmland...
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This tweet was the Big Bang of the modern #AI era.
This tweet was the Big Bang of the modern #AI era.
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Diplomacy is linear. Technology is exponential.
Diplomacy is linear. Technology is exponential.
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Imagine if the price of oil dropped 300-fold in a single year.
Imagine if the price of oil dropped 300-fold in a single year. The global economy would turn upside down.
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Autonomous Scientific Discovery: Kosmos compresses 6 months into 12 hours.
Edison Scientific's Kosmos represents the shift from assisted research to autonomous discovery.
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A $6.2 billion seed round. For a company that hasn't launched a product.
A $6.2 billion seed round. For a company that hasn't launched a product.
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We just watched an AI turn a simulated $500 into a $5,478 business empire.
We just watched an AI turn a simulated $500 into a $5,478 business empire.
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Graduate recruitment is becoming an AI literacy test.
The old filter was closed-book horsepower. The new filter is how well you orchestrate AI assistance.
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AI spoke English. Billions didn't.
AI spoke English. Billions didn't. Now that barrier may just have fallen
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Chinese state-backed hackers used an AI to run a cyber-espionage campaign at machine speed.
Chinese state-backed hackers used an AI to run a cyber-espionage campaign at machine speed.
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The Ozempic Demand Story: GLP-1 and the 5.3% drop in food spending.
GLP-1 medicines are a healthcare story, but they are also a fundamental demand story reshaping low-margin FMCG.
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What took a lab six months now takes a machine 12 hours.
What took a lab six months now takes a machine 12 hours. Not assisted research- autonomous discovery.
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The Collapse of Stack Overflow: We haven't stopped coding, we've just stopped talking.
Stack Overflow questions have dropped 98% from their peak. The developer ecosystem is moving from public forums to private AI.
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When Earth-based supply chains become too vulnerable, build off-world.
When Earth-based supply chains become too vulnerable, build off-world.
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China just made its move for global AI governance.
China just made its move for global AI governance.
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America’s new growth engine runs on disaster.
America’s new growth engine runs on disaster.
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The UK is trialling a new idea: freeports for algorithms.
The UK is trialling a new idea: freeports for algorithms.
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AI is making some workers more valuable, not obsolete (for now).
AI is making some workers more valuable, not obsolete (for now).
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Robots that programme themselves. Not in a lab. In a 100,000 square-foot factory that opened...
Robots that programme themselves. Not in a lab. In a 100,000 square-foot factory that opened yesterday in California.
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The exponential age doesn't just accelerate science. It privatises how science gets done.
The exponential age doesn't just accelerate science. It privatises how science gets done.
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A handful of poisoned training documents can backdoor the world's largest AI models. Researchers...
A handful of poisoned training documents can backdoor the world's largest AI models. Researchers just proved it.
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It looks like China is about to weaponise geology.
It looks like China is about to weaponise geology.
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Harvard University just ran a quantum computer for two hours straight.
Harvard University just ran a quantum computer for two hours straight.
Read moreFigure AI's humanoid robots have been working BMW Group's production line for five months...
Figure AI's humanoid robots have been working BMW Group's production line for five months straight. Ten hours a day. Every single day of production.
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This is what $1 trillion in AI infrastructure looks like.
This is what $1 trillion in AI infrastructure looks like.
Read moreChina is switching off the lights. Not to save energy- because humans no longer work there.
China is switching off the lights. Not to save energy- because humans no longer work there.
Read more🇬🇧 Some Saturday viewing to remind us why the world's tech titans still bet on this sceptred...
🇬🇧 Some Saturday viewing to remind us why the world's tech titans still bet on this sceptred isle. 🇬🇧
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OpenAI is reportedly planning an energy expansion on the scale of a nation.
OpenAI is reportedly planning an energy expansion on the scale of a nation.
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The record for the largest cyberattack just doubled. In three weeks.
The record for the largest cyberattack just doubled. In three weeks.
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The centre cannot hold"- Yeats, 1919
The centre cannot hold"- Yeats, 1919 The centre doesn't exist" - Social media, 2025
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We built #AI to be confident. Turns out confidence and accuracy parted ways.
We built #AI to be confident. Turns out confidence and accuracy parted ways.
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The new meta: not what you know, or who you know, but which #AI knows which AI.
The new meta: not what you know, or who you know, but which #AI knows which AI.
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The robots arrive, and human drivers take a 6.9% pay cut.
The robots arrive, and human drivers take a 6.9% pay cut.
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Just back from the Balkans - a few signals that our innovation map is upside down:
Just back from the Balkans - a few signals that our innovation map is upside down:
Read moreWhen AI speaks your language, you control the conversation.
When AI speaks your language, you control the conversation. Bulgaria gets it.
Read moreCode scales without limit.
Code scales without limit. But trust doesn’t - it needs eye contact and a handshake. Business is still human to human.
Read moreThey used to leave. Now they log in.
They used to leave. Now they log in. The future of work from Europe’s youngest country.
Read moreThe old order- poured in concrete.
The old order- poured in concrete. The new one - written in code.
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The career advice industry hasn't caught up to #AI disruption. Universities often teach...
The career advice industry hasn't caught up to #AI disruption. Universities often teach yesterday's playbooks. And parents can't guide what they don't
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Would you choose a cordial but unyielding algorithm or a human handshake for your next job...
Would you choose a cordial but unyielding algorithm or a human handshake for your next job interview?
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Most AI gives you answers. The interesting work happens when you push for consequences.
Most AI gives you answers. The interesting work happens when you push for consequences.
Read moreFascinating development: leaked #AI System Instructions from major players are circulating on...
Fascinating development: leaked #AI System Instructions from major players are circulating on GitHub.
Read moreBeen testing #AI browsers this week: got early access to Perplexity's Comet and also testing Dia...
Been testing #AI browsers this week: got early access to Perplexity's Comet and also testing Dia from The Browser Company.
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The quantified life is coming for every living thing.
The quantified life is coming for every living thing.
Read more‘Serve to lead’ remains a constant as the world’s security architecture becomes more uncertain...
‘Serve to lead’ remains a constant as the world’s security architecture becomes more uncertain and defence itself evolves at a rapid pace.
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Twice as many Chinese citizens trust #AI as Americans do.
Twice as many Chinese citizens trust #AI as Americans do.
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A single video format now owns 1% of human consciousness.
A single video format now owns 1% of human consciousness.
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It's part media, part fintech, part regtech - and completely reimagining itself through technology.
It's part media, part fintech, part regtech - and completely reimagining itself through technology.
Read moreIt looks like we're on the verge of flipping software *inside out*.
It looks like we're on the verge of flipping software *inside out*.
Read moreThe Strait of Hormuz: where 20% of global oil meets geopolitical uncertainty.
The Strait of Hormuz: where 20% of global oil meets geopolitical uncertainty.
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The exponential age isn't always about silicon and code.
The exponential age isn't always about silicon and code.
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Some revolutions are televised. Others are pushed to a hidden GitHub repo.
Some revolutions are televised. Others are pushed to a hidden GitHub repo.
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AI just took control of a fighter jet in Swedish airspace. Not in a simulator. In actual flight.
AI just took control of a fighter jet in Swedish airspace. Not in a simulator. In actual flight.
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With tariffs and rare earth materials now a running news story, signals of a new economic order...
With tariffs and rare earth materials now a running news story, signals of a new economic order emerge beneath the surface.
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From the first wheel to the latest microchip, technology has always been the great disruptor.
From the first wheel to the latest microchip, technology has always been the great disruptor.
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Syria’s shifting sands just delivered a masterclass in unintended consequences.
Syria’s shifting sands just delivered a masterclass in unintended consequences.
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Most people see the strain on our planet’s resources—but have you stopped to consider just how...
Most people see the strain on our planet’s resources—but have you stopped to consider just how much hotter and more unpredictable life could become
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The push and pull of age and youth are remaking the world as we know it.
The push and pull of age and youth are remaking the world as we know it.
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☁️ We often think of the cloud as something floating above us, but in reality it is far more...
☁️ We often think of the cloud as something floating above us, but in reality it is far more grounded.
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🚀 The Baltic capital making a play to become Europe’s fintech hub
🚀 The Baltic capital making a play to become Europe’s fintech hub
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🚢 Latvia’s Freeport of Riga: a small nation with a big role in global logistics
🚢 Latvia’s Freeport of Riga: a small nation with a big role in global logistics
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🌍 “The most advanced digital society in the world.” - Wired
🌍 “The most advanced digital society in the world.” - Wired
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